MoloneyStreetRe Analytics

NNFM · Northern Nigeria Flour Mills Plc

Illiquid Neutral Quality 2/5
Distress proxy: 0.49 (Distress concern)
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Consumer Goods / Food Products · Main Board
Composite score
36.2
Tier: Illiquid
Last close
₦79
As of latest snapshot
30-day ADV
₦179.0K
Liquidity signal
Market cap
₦14.15B
Consumer Goods
Valuation
50
Financials
21
Technical
36
AI bottom line

NNFM's extreme valuation disconnect—a 510.7x P/E versus the 19.5x sector median—overwhelms an already weak financial profile (0.2% ROE, 21/100 financials score), signaling either deep distress or severe mispricing. The critical watch is whether the 4.9% FCF yield materializes into sustained profitability, given liquidity constraints (₦178k daily volume) will limit exit velocity.

Stock Snowflake 5-axis radar

Blue = NNFM. Gold dash = Consumer Goods median. Bigger area = better across the five research dimensions.

What the model is seeing

  • Trades at P/E 510.7x — about 2466% above the Consumer Goods median of 19.9x.
  • ROE of 0.2% — well below sector median of 38.9%. Capital is underperforming.

Risk flags

Thin liquidity — 30d ADV ≈ ₦0.2M
Premium valuation — P/E 510.7x vs sector median 19.9x

Price & trend

Close price with 50-day and 200-day moving averages, last 12 months.

Composite score history

How the model has rated this stock over the available history. Tier changes happen at 75 / 60 / 40.

Key metrics

Valuation

P/E ratio510.7x
P/B ratio1.2x
P/S ratio0.7x
EV/EBITDA44.8x
FCF yield4.9%

Financials

ROE0.2%
ROA0.1%
Net margin0.1%
FCF margin3.2%
Debt / Equity1.2x

Technical

Last close₦79
Above 50d MA0.0%
Above 200d MA-5.1%
ADX (trend)0.0
RSI100.0

Dividend history 4 fiscal years shown

All amounts are gross of Nigeria's 10% withholding tax on dividends. Bonus ratios are 'new shares for shares held'.
Current yield: 0.70%
FYInterim DPSFinal DPSTotal cashBonusQualificationPayment
2023 ₦0.5 ₦0.5 19 Nov 2024
2022 ₦0.35 ₦0.35 08 Sep 2023
2020 ₦0.15 ₦0.15 10 Aug 2021
2019 ₦0.15 ₦0.15 10 Sep 2020
See the full NGX dividend leaderboard →

Peers in Consumer Goods

Closest names by composite score within the same sector. Click a symbol to open its detail page.
SymbolCompositeP/EP/BROETier
CHAMPION 35.6 100.5x 3.0x 2.2% Avoid
DANGSUGAR 38.6 5.6x -14.4% Avoid
GUINNESS 42.2 23.4x 14.9x 57.4% Neutral
INTBREW 43.8 41.7x 3.4x 7.9% Illiquid
CADBURY 45.7 17.3x 8.3x 38.9% Neutral
BUAFOODS 50.1 31.6x 19.8x 62.6% Neutral

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