Valuation
60
ABCTRANS · Associated Bus Company Plc
Illiquid Momentum Breakout Quality 3/5Distress proxy: 28.47 (Safe)
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Composite score
64.3
Tier: Illiquid
Last close
₦8
As of latest snapshot
30-day ADV
₦1.3M
Liquidity signal
Market cap
₦16.87B
Services
Financials
50
Technical
92
AI bottom line
ABCTRANS signals a quality-driven momentum play with ROE of 39.9% (3x sector median) and a 92/100 technical score, though valuation is stretched at 9.2x P/B versus 3.7x sector peers. Liquidity risk is the binding constraint—₦1.3M daily volume severely limits position sizing and exit flexibility for institutional investors.
Stock Snowflake 5-axis radar
Blue = ABCTRANS. Gold dash = Services median. Bigger area = better across the five research dimensions.
What the model is seeing
- Trades at P/E 17.5x — in line with Services median of 20.9x.
- ROE of 39.9% — well above Services median of 13.1%. Top-quartile capital efficiency.
- Above both 50-day (+15.9%) and 200-day (+45.5%) moving averages — uptrend intact.
Risk flags
Thin liquidity — 30d ADV ≈ ₦1.3M
Price & trend
Close price with 50-day and 200-day moving averages, last 12 months.
Composite score history
How the model has rated this stock over the available history. Tier changes happen at 75 / 60 / 40.
Key metrics
Valuation
P/E ratio17.5x
P/B ratio9.2x
P/S ratio1.1x
EV/EBITDA6.0x
FCF yield3.1%
Financials
ROE39.9%
ROA6.7%
Net margin5.8%
FCF margin3.5%
Debt / Equity0.7x
Technical
Last close₦8
Above 50d MA15.9%
Above 200d MA45.5%
ADX (trend)67.8
RSI66.1
Dividend history 3 fiscal years shown
All amounts are gross of Nigeria's 10% withholding tax on dividends. Bonus ratios are 'new shares for shares held'.
Current yield: 0.85%
| FY | Interim DPS | Final DPS | Total cash | Bonus | Qualification | Payment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | — | ₦0.06 | ₦0.06 | — | 22 May 2026 | — |
| 2023 | ₦0.025 | — | ₦0.025 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | — | ₦0.015 | ₦0.015 | — | — | — |
Peers in Services
Closest names by composite score within the same sector. Click a symbol to open its detail page.
| Symbol | Composite | P/E | P/B | ROE | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAHCO | 61.7 | 16.9x | 10.8x | 58.1% | Accumulate |
| REDSTAREX | 58.9 | 24.2x | 4.3x | 16.1% | Illiquid |
| UPL | 57.9 | 10.6x | 0.7x | 5.5% | Illiquid |
| SKYAVN | 57.1 | 25.0x | 3.6x | 13.1% | Illiquid |
| TIP | 74.1 | 6.2x | 3.7x | 60.9% | Accumulate |
| LEARNAFRCA | 75.0 | 10.8x | 2.1x | 17.6% | Illiquid |
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