Model Call Leaderboard
As of 06 Sep 2026 · Directional accuracy of every tier rating vs subsequent NGX closing prices
39%
CB + Acc 4W accuracy
46%
CB-only 4W accuracy
+2.2%
Avg 4W return (CB + Acc)
10,157
Total rated calls
Accuracy by tier
| Tier | Calls | 4-week accuracy | Avg 4W return | 12-week accuracy | Avg 12W return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conviction Buy | 1,058 | 46% | +6.5% | 58% | +18.2% |
| Accumulate | 3,114 | 36% | +0.8% | 38% | +0.9% |
| Neutral | 4,769 | 38% | -0.9% | 19% | -1.7% |
| Avoid | 1,216 | 70% | -0.9% | 86% | -7.4% |
"Accuracy" = call direction matched market direction. CB/Acc: correct if price rose. Avoid: correct if price fell.
Monthly accuracy trend (CB + Acc, 4W)
02
49%
n=169
03
42%
n=649
04
68%
n=693
05
29%
n=616
06
16%
n=748
07
38%
n=627
08
20%
n=35
Best sectors (Bullish calls)
| Sector | CB + Acc calls | 4-week accuracy | Avg 4W return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Construction/Real Estate | 147 | 66% | +10.8% |
| ICT | 284 | 48% | +0.5% |
| Services | 341 | 44% | +3.4% |
| Consumer Goods | 596 | 42% | +3.8% |
| Industrial Goods | 486 | 40% | +10.2% |
| Conglomerates | 211 | 37% | -2.7% |
| HealthCare | 239 | 37% | +1.0% |
| Financial Services | 1202 | 35% | -0.9% |
Top 10 calls (4-week return)
| Symbol | Company | Tier | Rated on | Entry close | 4W return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BERGER | Berger Paints Plc | Accumulate | 17 Apr 2026 | ₦68.35 | +147.2% |
| CAP | CAP Plc | Accumulate | 17 Apr 2026 | ₦95.00 | +146.0% |
| CAP | CAP Plc | Conviction Buy | 20 Apr 2026 | ₦95.00 | +146.0% |
| CAP | CAP Plc | Accumulate | 16 Apr 2026 | ₦95.00 | +146.0% |
| CAP | CAP Plc | Accumulate | 14 Apr 2026 | ₦96.00 | +143.4% |
| CAP | CAP Plc | Conviction Buy | 13 Apr 2026 | ₦96.00 | +143.4% |
| BERGER | Berger Paints Plc | Accumulate | 22 Apr 2026 | ₦68.35 | +139.9% |
| BERGER | Berger Paints Plc | Accumulate | 20 Apr 2026 | ₦68.35 | +139.9% |
| BERGER | Berger Paints Plc | Accumulate | 21 Apr 2026 | ₦68.35 | +139.9% |
| CAP | CAP Plc | Conviction Buy | 10 Apr 2026 | ₦99.80 | +134.2% |
Research output only. Not personalised investment advice. Past model accuracy does not guarantee future results.